Barfod, M.B., Salling, K.B. & Leleur, S. (2011). Composite Decision Support by combining Cost-Benefit and Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis. Decision Support Systems, Vol. 51 (1), pp. 167-175, 8 pages, not OA, 100% DSF financed.
Bladt, M. & Friis Nielsen, B. (2011). Moment distributions of phase type. Stochastic Models, Vol. 27 (2011), pp. 651-663. 12 pages, not OA, 20% DSF financed.
Bladt, M., Rodriguez Esparza, L. J. & Friis Nielsen, B. (2011). Fisher information and statistical inference for phase-type distributions. Journal of Applied Probability, Vol. 48A (2011), pp. 277-293. 16 pages, not OA, 30% DSF financed.
Bladt, M. and Friis Nielsen, B. (2010). On the Construction of Bivariate Exponential Distributions with an Arbitrary Correlation Coefficient. Stochastic Models, Vol. 26 (2), pp. 295-308. 13 pages, not OA, 15% DSF financed.
Bladt, M. and Friis Nielsen, B. (2010). Multivariate Matrix Exponential Distributions. Stochastic Models, Vol. 26 (1), pp. 1-26. 26 pages, not OA, 20% DSF financed.
Leleur, S., Salling, K.B., Pilkauskiene, I. and Nicolaisen, M.S. (2015). Combining Reference Class Forecasting with Overconfidence Theory for better risk assessment of Transport infrastructure Investments. European Journal of Transport Infrastructure Research, Vol. 15 (3), pp. 84-97, 13 pages, not OA, 100% DSF financed.
Manzo, S., Nielsen, O. A. & Prato, C. G. (2014). The Effects of uncertainty in speed-flow curve parameters on a large-scale model. Transportation Research Record, 1, 30-37. 7 pages, not OA, 100% DSF financed.
Manzo, S., Nielsen, O. A. & Prato, C. G. (2015). How uncertainty in input and parameters influences transport model output: a four-stage model case-study. Transport Policy, 38, 64-72. 8 pages, not OA, 100% DSF financed.
Manzo, S., Nielsen, O. A. & Prato, C. G. (2015). How uncertainty in socio-economic variables affects large-scale transport model forecasts. Forthcoming: European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research, 15-3, 25-37. 12 pages, OA, 100% DSF financed.
Nicolaisen, M.S., and P. Driscoll. 2014. “Ex-Post Evaluations of Demand Forecast Accuracy: A Literature Review.” Transport Reviews 34(4): 540–57. 17 pages, not OA, 100% DSF financed.
Nicolaisen, M.S., and P. Næss. 2015. “Roads to Nowhere: The Accuracy of Travel Demand Forecasts for Do-Nothing Alternatives.” Transport Policy 37: 57–63. 6 pages, not OA, 100% DSF financed.
Næss, P. 2011. “The Third Limfjord Crossing. A Case of Pessimism Bias and Knowledge Filtering.” Transport Reviews 31(2): 231–49. 18 pages, not OA, 100% DSF financed.
Næss, P., and J.A. Andersen. 2010. “Modeller, Miljø Og Manipulation – Vidensfiltrering Og Magt I Beslutningsprocessen Omkring Den 3. Limfjordsforbindelse.” Økonomi og Politik 83(2): 20–35. 15 pages, not OA, 100% DSF financed.
Næss, P., M.S. Nicolaisen, and A. Strand. 2012. “Traffic Forecasts Ignoring Induced Demand: A Shaky Fundament for Cost-Benefit Analyses.” European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research 12(3): 291–309. 18 pages, OA, 100% DSF financed.
Næss, P., and A. Strand. 2012. “What Kinds of Traffic Forecasts Are Possible?” Journal of Critical Realism 11(3): 277–95. 18 pages, not OA, 100% DSF financed.
Næss, P., J.A. Andersen, A. Strand, and M.S. Nicolaisen. 2014. “Transport Modelling in the Context of the ‘Predict and Provide’ Paradigm.” European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research 14(2): 102–21. 19 pages, OA, 100% DSF financed.
Næss, P., J.A. Andersen, M.S. Nicolaisen, and A. Strand. 2015. “Forecasting Inaccuracies: A Result of Unexpected Events, Optimism Bias, Technical Problems, or Strategic Misrepresentation?” Journal of Transport and Land Use (forthcoming). 21 pages, OA, 100% DSF financed.
Næss, P. and Strand, A. 2015. “Traffic forecasting at strategic, tactical and operational level: a differentiated methodology is necessary”. DISP (forthcoming). 11 pages, not OA, 100% DSF financed.
Rich, J. and Nielsen, O.A. (2015). System Convergence in transport models: Algorithms efficiency and output uncertainty. European Journal of Transport Infrastructure Research, Vol. 15 (3), pp. 38-62, 24 pages, not OA, 100% DSF financed.
Salling, K. B. and Banister, D. (2009). Assessment of large transport infrastructure projects: The CBA-DK Model. Transportation Research part A: Policy and Practice, 43 (2009), pp. 800-813. 13 pages, not OA, 100% DSF financed.
Salling, K. B. and Banister, D. (2010). Feasibility Risk Assessment of Transport Infrastructure Projects: the CBA-DK Decision Support Model. European Journal of Transport Infrastructure Research, Vol. 10 (1), pp. 103-120, Open Access, TUDelft. 17 pages, OA, 100% DSF financed.
Salling, K.B. & Leleur, S. (2011). Transport Appraisal and Monte Carlo Simulation by use of the CBA.DK model. Transport Policy, Vol. 18 (1), pp. 236-245. 9 pages, not OA, 100% DSF financed.
Salling, K.B. & Leleur, S. (2012). Modelling of Transport Project Uncertainties: Feasibility Risk Assessment and Scenario Analysis. European Journal of Infrastructure Research, Issue 12 (1), pp. 21-38. 17 pages, OA, 100% DSF financed.
Salling, K.B. (2013). A new approach to Feasibility Risk Assessment within Transport Infrastructure Appraisal. The 26th IPMA World Congress, Procedia Social and Behavioural Sciences 74 (2013), pp. 437-446, Crete, Greece. 9 pages, not OA, 100% DSF financed.
Salling, K.B. and Leleur S. (2014). Accounting for the inaccuracies in demand forecasts and construction cost estimations in transport project evaluation. Transport Policy, Vol. 38 (2015), pp. 8-18, 10 pages, not OA, 100% DSF financed.
Salling, K.B. and Nielsen, O.A. (2015). Uncertainties in Transport Project Evaluation - Editorial. European Journal of Transport Infrastructure Research, Vol. 15 (3), pp. 1-4, 4 pages, not OA, 100% DSF financed
Salling, K.B. and Leleur, S. (2015) Transport Project Evaluation: Feasibility Risk Assessment and Scenario Forecasting. Journal of Transport, accepted for publication 2015, 11 pages, not OA, 100% DSF financed.